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More “poll of polls” numbers suggest Obama could capture some reliably red states.

Nevada…

CNN’s new Nevada Poll of Polls shows Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49% to 43%; CNN’s last Nevada Poll of Polls –- released October 31 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points.

North Carolina…

Obama is leading McCain by 2 points, 49% to 47%; CNN’s last North Carolina Poll of Polls –- released October 31 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 50 percent to 46 percent.

Ohio…

the Democratic nominee leading the Republican nominee by 4 points, 49% to 45%; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls –- released October 31 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points.

Earlier I said that any state where Obama was below 50% was a problem for him. However, in Nevada I think there’s an exception, especially because McCain is at 43%. I just don’t think it’s realistic that he’ll get a 7% swing.

But in Ohio and North Carolina? Well, if you’re an Obama fan, I wouldn’t count on either of those going blue this election. But the good news is that he doesn’t need them. Sure, it would be nice to run up the score, but a win is a win and Obama is focused on getting above 270 and that’s it.

More as it develops…

  • Avinash_Tyagi

    Justin, you’re actually saying that all of the undecideds in Ohio are going to go for McCain, yeah, that’s extremely unlikely, in fact I would say near impossible, when was the least time 100% of undecideds broke for one cantidate?

    Sure they may not be certain to go for Obama but its unlikely that McCain will get enough of the undecideds to break his way, anything over 70% of undecideds breaking for one cantidate would be unprecedented.