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A new poll says he’s leading. And folks, he’s for real and the support he has is real too.

I’ve gathered this not only from the thigns I’ve read, but also from talking to family members who live in Iowa and are going to vote for him. This is grassroots, “we trust this guy” type of support. And given that the Republican caucuses aren’t nearly as goofy and complicated as their Democratic counterpart, Huck could win this one with little ground support.

From Rasmussen:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Iowa caucus finds former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee with 28% of the vote, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 25% support, and everyone else far behind. National frontrunner Rudy Giuliani gets just 12% of the vote in Iowa at this time while former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson is the only other candidate in double digits at 11%. […]

Compared to our prior survey, the trend is unmistakable—Huckabee has gone up and just about everybody else has gone down. Huckabee’s 28% support represents a twelve point increase from a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted earlier in the month. Romney is down four points while Giuliani and Thompson are each down three points from the previous survey. John McCain is down two points and earns just 4% support. Ron Paul picked up a point and is now at the 5% level.

The reason? As if you even have to ask at this point…

Forty-eight percent (48%) of Evangelical Christians support Hucakbee. That’s more than all the other candidates combined. Romney attracts 16% of the Evangelical vote.

Biggest question: Will he really be able to win the nomination when fiscal conservatives aren’t particularly interested in being “compassionate conservatives” anymore?

I have my doubts…

9 COMMENTS

  1. While talking to my Republican father, he said that it’s likely that he will be able to pull a good showing in these states because he’s “a good old boy” from their parts, but will have serious trouble beating any democrat nominee. Hence when the party loyalists go to the polls, they’re not going to vote for him, they’re gonna vote for the person that will do the best against the other party.

    I don’t like it, but it sounds like how things go down.

  2. Huckabee could very well win the nomination… and conservatives are going to be kicking themselves for abandoning compassionate conservatism.

    What most people don’t realize is that most Americans are yearning for a populist leader right now. We’ve essentially had right-leaning free-market globalists since Reagan (Clinton included)… and globalization, along with the state of the environment and low morals of contemporary politicians has made a lot of American voters uneasy. So they want a more protectionist leader; hence we have Mike Huckabee. If he succeeds, it will be very similar to how in 1896 the populist William Jennings Bryan defeated the laissez-faire conservative Grover Cleveland for the Democratic nomination.

    Why are people like Lou Dobbs or Bill O’Reilly so popular today? They have populist beliefs which largely go hand-in-hand with the American people today. Yes, we still have the Ron Paul libertarians out there who detest this form of populism… but I think that Huckabee’s policies in the current political climate are far more acceptable to most American people than Paul’s.

  3. … but I think that Huckabee’s policies in the current political climate are far more acceptable to most American people than Paul’s.

    Oh no, a disparaging Ron Paul remark….don’t you know what you have done? Any moment now there will be several dozen “Ron Paul is god” posts and another post will be shot to heck.

    Queue the Ron Paul blog bomb now…one…two…three….

  4. I’m so glad to hear that Mike Huckabee is now LEADING! in Iowa. A few months ago this would have been thought to be nearly impossible. Even now many are saying, like the writer of the above article, that he has virtually NO chance of winning the republican nomination. I for one believe he can win and here’s why. He is refreshingly candid straight-forward and sincere. He’s VERY likable. He is far and away the best communicator in the field. Democrat or republican. He gives the unmistakable impression that he CARES passionately about both people and the issues on which he stands. All of these characteristics add up to evoke from people a deep and well-placed TRUST. Although other candidates in the republican field certainly have their strengths, I believe each one is fatally flawed in one way or another. As the race moves on quickly from here they will drop off one by one – leaving one “traditional values” candidate and Rudy left standing to contend for the nomination. Because of the above stated reasons and because of the strong support he will receive from values voters in our party I believe that the “other man standing” will be Mike Huckabee. The one and only thing that I can see stopping him is lack of MONEY. WE CAN CHANGE THAT!

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