SHARE

Interesting perspective from Howard Fineman. In his latest column, he lists potential winners and losers of this latest scandal.

The “Losers” section is predictably Republican. But in his “Winners” section, I find this…

Third-party reform movement: If Sen. John McCain doesn’t win the Republican presidential nomination, I could see him leading an independent effort to “clean upâ€Â? the capital as a third-party candidate. Having been seared by his own touch with this type of controversy (the Keating case in the ’80s, which was as important an experience to him as Vietnam), McCain could team up with a Democrat, say, Sen. Joe Lieberman. If they could assemble a cabinet in waiting â€â€? perhaps Wes Clark for defense, Russ Feingold for justice, Colin Powell for anything â€â€? they could win the 2008 election going away.

I’ve heard on more than one occasion that McCain will never get the nomination. This surprises me honestly because it seems like he’s a good Republican who simply disagrees with his party. Still, that’s the sentiment I’ve heard, so an independent run would be incredibly compelling.

And personally, I think only somebody like McCain could mount a credible independent campaign. No Dem has the stomach for it yet…or the ideas…or the gravitas.

However, Brendan Nyhan thinks Fineman isn’t just wrong, he’s stupid…

With this prediction (which I’ve debunked many times), Fineman joins the ranks of Mickey Kaus, Ron Brownstein, the Philadelphia Inquirer, and many other pundits in failing to appreciate or even understand the barriers that make it virtually impossible for third parties to win. Shouldn’t political writers have to understand freshman-level political science?

And shouldn’t Brendan Nyhan understand that it’s pretty damn arrogant to say he’s debunked predictions? Bren, there’s a reason it’s called a prediction…it’s not meant to be a statement of fact.

Anyway…still food for thought.

  • Joshua

    Justin wrote:

    I’ve heard on more than one occasion that McCain will never get the nomination. This surprises me honestly because it seems like he’s a good Republican who simply disagrees with his party.

    Another knock I’ve heard against McCain by Republicans is that he’s too old to make an appealing candidate. (Ironic for the party of Ronald Reagan, who was over 70 when he took office.)

  • http://www.kozoru.com Justin Gardner

    Extremely ironic considering Reagan. I don’t think it’ll be an issue honestly, but if a younger candidate on the Dem side can put up forth a convincing youthful charisma, ala Clinton, age could become an issue.

  • http://moderatemusings.blogspot.com Clint

    Right now, there is only one person who could run a successful independent or third-party campaign for the presidency, and that’s McCain. And I think that would be awesome.

  • Unhappy

    DO NOT TAKE UP A CONTRACT WITH 3RD WAY COMMUNICATIONS! BE WARNED!
    THERE MD IS AN ALEGED BIG FAT CON MAN. IT IS ALEGED HE DOES NOT PAY HIS CONTRACTORS EITHER.

  • Anon

    Cannot believe this guy (PS its a one man band company – not an international conglomerate) has not been found out before now. Its a disgrace how the likes of this guy gets away with it……

  • Disgruntled’s mate

    Amazing! this is what the net is for…. I worked through this guy too. Devious & headworking spring to mind. He is good to work for as long as you dont expect to get paid! try him, work for weeks on end – recieve £0 – your choice?!

  • Anon

    This bastard from 3rd way communications (Jerry) left me in a lot of financial trouble due to non payment. He will think of any excuse not to sort his staff out financially. If you want to take up a contract with him and receive no payment after months working for him, sign up with this guy.

  • Tom Clark

    Ahhhh, the 3rd Way Communications amateur scam again!!
    Thank god for forums like this to warn other people.
    Now Alledgedly This guy Jerry S Camps has made a living from employing sub-contractors and not paying them a penny. He claims to have a turn over of 10’s of millions of pounds per year but lives in dream land. He was selling houses a few years ago and now claims to be running a telecomms business?! Don’t make me laugh, if you want to work for absolutely nothing at all for months on end work for ‘3rd Way’ and non-payment will be guaranteed…